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    Guns, Butter and Tweets: The Effectiveness of Modern Russian Statecraft

    Cover for Guns, Butter and Tweets: The Effectiveness of Modern Russian Statecraft
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    View/Open: Orsini_georgetown_0076M_14557.pdf (939kB) Bookview

    Creator
    Orsini, Ryan Joseph
    Advisor
    Kern, Andreas T
    ORCID
    0000-0001-6073-1401
    Abstract
    Over the last decade, the Western world mobilized to counter the Russian Federation, which is seen as a revanchist security threat. However, little holistic analysis on the effectiveness of Russian foreign policy actually drives this threat perception. This study identifies the effect of Russian foreign policy instruments on other states in the international system through the lens of Russia’s strategic approach to modern warfare. Further, the study examines state vulnerabilities, resilience, and preferences that drive or mitigate Russian influence. Fixed effects and quantile estimation analyzes the effectiveness of Russian hard, soft, and sharp power policies in the international system, yielding two main lessons. First, among similarly less-overt economic instruments, hard power and hard power-enabling conditions drive a larger effect, in both significance and magnitude, than sharp or soft power tools. Second, the effectiveness and efficiency of Russian malign influence tools can be greatly amplified by context, in particular country development and bilateral policy preferences. These findings underscore the challenges facing Western policy makers to limit Russian success in the gray zone between peace and war. Framed within the principles and outcomes of Russian strategy, this study offers a perspective for the Western security community to better understand and counter Russian influence.
    Description
    M.P.P.
    Permanent Link
    http://hdl.handle.net/10822/1059614
    Date Published
    2020
    Subject
    Geoeconomics; Geopolitics; International Security; Russia; Statecraft; United Nations; Public policy; Military art and science; Economics; Public policy; Military studies; Economics;
    Type
    thesis
    Publisher
    Georgetown University
    Extent
    74 leaves
    Collections
    • Graduate Theses and Dissertations - Public Policy
    Metadata
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    Georgetown University Seal
    ©2009 - 2022 Georgetown University Library
    37th & O Streets NW
    Washington DC 20057-1174
    202.687.7385
    digitalscholarship@georgetown.edu
    Accessibility