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    The Effect of Mexican Imports on US State-Level Unemployment Rates: Is Trade an Opportunity or a Threat?

    Cover for The Effect of Mexican Imports on US State-Level Unemployment Rates: Is Trade an Opportunity or a Threat?
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    View/Open: MarroquinBitar_georgetown_0076M_14899.pdf (1.4MB) Bookview

    Creator
    Marroquin Bitar, Diego
    Advisor
    Thomas, Adam T
    Abstract
    The existing literature on the effects of international trade on US labor markets provides mixed evidence. Is it true that trade with Mexico is taking away US jobs? This study seeks to answer that question. Using state-level unemployment data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and trade data from the Department of Commerce, I assess whether imports from Mexico are related to US state-level unemployment. I expand upon the existing research by extending my period of analysis to account for the evolution of US-Mexico bilateral trade after 2014. Moreover, I use state-level data instead of national estimates to provide a more granular understanding of the policy implications of free trade under the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) and its successor, the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA). More specifically, considering the high degree of economic integration between Mexico and the United States resulting from NAFTA, I assess whether increased imports from Mexico are associated with changes in state-level unemployment rates. In the end, my study provides only limited evidence to suggest that trade with Mexico is linked to positive outcomes for US workers.
    Description
    M.P.P.
    Permanent Link
    http://hdl.handle.net/10822/1062251
    Date Published
    2021
    Subject
    imports; Mexico; NAFTA; trade; unemployment; USMCA; Economics; Labor economics; Statistics; Economics; Labor economics; Statistics;
    Type
    thesis
    Embargo Lift Date
    2022-08-11
    Publisher
    Georgetown University
    Extent
    49 leaves
    Collections
    • Graduate Theses and Dissertations - Public Policy
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    Georgetown University Seal
    ©2009 - 2023 Georgetown University Library
    37th & O Streets NW
    Washington DC 20057-1174
    202.687.7385
    digitalscholarship@georgetown.edu
    Accessibility