Uncertainty and the Unimaginable
How much can we “know”? In this essay, I sketch one stance on this question that, broadly speaking, posits that the resources of the human mind have some insurmountable limits, and that, as a result, the right answers to hard questions that we are perpetually uncertain about are literally unknowable and unimaginable. I critique this stance on conceptual, ethical, and empirical grounds but frame no alternative hypothesis.
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Svet, Oleg (2022-02-04)The “black swan” metaphor is today frequently used in both academic and non-academic sources to describe a plethora of events that seem to have been previously unexpected and/or unpredictable. This working paper is mostly ...