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    An Assessment of the Social and Economics Determinants of Provincial Voting Behavior in Turkey

    Cover for An Assessment of the Social and Economics Determinants of Provincial Voting Behavior in Turkey
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    Creator
    Dogan, Tayyar
    Advisor
    Kern, Andreas
    Abstract
    AN ASSESSMENT OF THE SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC DETERMINANTS OF PROVINCIAL VOTING BEHAVIOR IN TURKEY
     
    Tayyar Dogan, B. S.
     
    Thesis Adviser: Andreas Kern, Ph.D.
     
    ABSTRACT
     
    Using fixed effects estimation, this study assesses the relationship between the provincial election results of 2002 and 2011 in Turkey's 81 provinces, and provincial socio-economic development level. To operationalize the socio-economic development level; urbanization rate, education level and income level are used. Some geographic variables are also used in order to take into account the geographical clustering in Turkish voting behavior.
     
    The study finds a statistically significant correlation between the provincial voting behavior and provincial socio-economic development levels. The magnitude and direction of this correlation is very different across different economic and social development indicators and different political parties.
     
    This study is novel in that it combines social, economic and geographic variables, which is crucial to achieving the high predictive power for provincial electoral behavior in Turkey. It is also the first study of its kind covering the whole period of 2002-2011, when the current ruling party took office, and comparing the voting behavior toward the three major political parties.
     
    Keywords: voting behavior, political party, election
     
    Description
    M.P.P.
    Permanent Link
    http://hdl.handle.net/10822/557813
    Date Published
    2012
    Subject
    election; political party; voting behavior; Public policy; Political Science; Public policy; Political Science;
    Type
    thesis
    Embargo Lift Date
    2015-12-02
    Publisher
    Georgetown University
    Extent
    42 leaves
    Collections
    • Graduate Theses and Dissertations - Public Policy
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    Georgetown University Seal
    ©2009 - 2023 Georgetown University Library
    37th & O Streets NW
    Washington DC 20057-1174
    202.687.7385
    digitalscholarship@georgetown.edu
    Accessibility